Bitcoin Price Outlook: BTC Faces Potential Decline as ETF Demand Fades

Bitcoin Price Outlook: BTC Faces Potential Decline as ETF Demand Fades

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Written by Peter

October 31, 2025

Bitcoin ETF Demand Declines Amid Market Corrections

As Bitcoin trades above $109,000, recent trends indicate a declining interest in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This slump coincides with uncertainties regarding future interest rate cuts as articulated by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.

Demand for Bitcoin Spot ETFs Dwindles

The latest financial landscape reflects a marked decrease in demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs. Jerome Powell’s remarks hint at uncertainty regarding a potential interest rate cut in December, contributing to fluctuations in the market. Recent data from CryptoQuant reveals that U.S. investor interest in Bitcoin spot ETFs has significantly diminished, with an average weekly outflow of 281 BTC—one of the lowest readings since April. Meanwhile, Ether inflows have also stagnated.

According to the report, Coinbase’s premiums for BTC and ETH have stabilized near zero, and the CME futures base has fallen to its lowest level in years. This trend illustrates a broader pattern where both institutional and retail traders appear to be taking profits rather than increasing their market exposure.

Glassnode’s analysis shows that Bitcoin continues to struggle below the short-term holder’s cost basis of approximately $113,000, with long-term holders still distributing about 104,000 BTC per month. Furthermore, daily transfer volumes from whale wallets to exchanges have surged to $293 million, indicating a preference for profit-taking among investors.

Potential Price Decline and Market Dynamics

The BTC/USD four-hour chart remains bearish, having decreased by 1% over the last 24 hours. As the monthly candle approaches closure, market reactions in the short term could be critical.

If Bitcoin continues its downward trajectory and closes below the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8% at $106,453, it could further extend to a low of $102,000, previously observed on October 10. The current Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 46 points to a strengthening bearish momentum, while the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) lines also show signs of converging, suggesting a persistent downtrend.

Should Bitcoin maintain support at $106,453, traders may anticipate a move towards the 50-day exponential moving average at $112,872 in the coming hours or days.

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